Space: May 30, 2022

The Need for Speed: Leveraging Commercial Space Markets to Accelerate U.S. National Interests in Space

The United States’ space superiority is being challenged by the pacing threats of China and Russia. Both countries understand the United States’ economic dependence on space and the degree to which American military advantages rely on space-based assets. They have, in turn, developed capabilities and strategies to deny use of these advantages in the event of conflict. At the same time, a revolution is underway in the commercial space industry that has led to an explosion of new companies, capabilities, and business models that are democratizing access to space and rapidly increasing the opportunities available to the U.S., our allies, and partners.

Strategic Materials May 31, 2024

Mining for the Future: The Critical Role of Strategic Materials in U.S. National Security

The United States faces significant challenges in securing supply chains for strategic materials crucial to national security and economic prosperity. With rising global demand for non-fuel minerals essential for advanced technologies, defense, and renewable energy, the U.S. must enhance supply chain resilience to reduce dependence on foreign sources, particularly China. China has established dominance in the strategic materials market through aggressive investments in mining and processing, giving it an advantage in the global supply chain. This includes state-backed initiatives in mining, refining, and midstream processing, as well as leveraging its position as a manufacturing hub. As a result, the U.S. is at a strategic disadvantage in this critical sector, especially amid global competition. The mining industry also faces challenges, including long development timelines, high capital investments, and market volatility, which complicate profitability and project support. Developing new mines can take over a decade and involves significant financial risk due to the cyclical nature of mineral markets. To maintain a competitive edge, companies must innovate in extraction methods and sustainability while optimizing operational efficiency.

Strategic Materials: May 30, 2023

Securing the Strategic Materials Supply Chain

In the case of military aggression by the People’s Republic of China (PRC) against Taiwan, economic shockwaves would ripple across the Pacific. How can the U.S. prepare America’s defense industrial base for this contingency? The answer begins with ensuring access to strategic materials – the essential elements that form the foundation of the modern economy. Since the end of the Cold War, the PRC has cornered the market on a wide range of minerals and downstream processing that converts ore into modern life’s building block materials. More troubling, the PRC has also demonstrated a willingness to flex its power by temporarily cutting off exports of strategic materials to America’s partners and allies, as it did with rare earth elements in 2010 and threatened to do in 2017.

Strategic Materials: May 30, 2022

Toward an Industrial Security Strategy to Safeguard Access to Critical Minerals

Access to minerals is critical to U.S. economic and national security. However, in recent years, China and Russia have gained strategic advantages in critical mineral global supply chains, introducing unacceptable risks to the U.S. industrial base. In response, the United States must develop and execute a comprehensive, long-term industrial security strategy with its allies and partners to expand reliable and assured access to critical minerals.

Transportation (formerly Global Agility): May 30, 2022

Sustaining the U.S. Advantage in Global Transportation and Logistics

The U.S. transportation and logistics (T&L) ecosystem – composed of multiple sectors through a complex system of freight forwarding, storage, and distribution – is an essential pillar of the economy and contributes to U.S. economic prosperity and thus U.S. national security. This paper provides a brief overview of U.S. Deep Sea Shipping, Inland Waterways, Ports and Harbors, Railways, Trucking, Air Freight, and Warehousing sectors of the T&L ecosystem. It also considers how digital infrastructure bridges and connects each of these elements. By analyzing T&L’s role in supporting the U.S. and global economy, national security, and its contribution to mobilization efforts, the paper identifies significant issues and concerns within the T&L ecosystem. It concludes with policy recommendations to strengthen the U.S. position.

Transportation (formerly Global Agility): May 30, 2023

Sustaining Global Power Through U.S. Transportation Infrastructure: Setting the Conditions for Optimal Multimodal Logistics

The United States’ dependence on uncoordinated public and private investment across the transportation and logistics ecosystem (trucking, railroad, air freight, port and harbor, inland waterway, deep-sea shipping, and warehousing industry) puts the nation’s ability to mobilize for major military action at risk. Despite various laws and government programs designed to protect the U.S. industry, recent wide-ranging supply chain chaos exposed systemic vulnerabilities which impinge on industrial, consumer, and national security interests. As economic activity normalizes in the wake of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 pandemic, there is no expectation that the various corporate and government entities will construct a robust, long-lasting, system-wide framework to repair these exposures.

Transportation and Logistics (Formerly Global Agility) May 31, 2024

Reinvigorating U.S. Transportation Infrastructure: Investing To Enable Power Projection, Underwrite National Security, And Maintain Advantage in Great Power Competition

The U.S. must reassess its transportation and logistics infrastructure, which supports both military and economic power. The system is fragmented, with uncoordinated investments and increasing foreign competition, particularly from China. This has weakened the U.S.'s ability to mobilize forces and respond to crises, as seen during the COVID-19 pandemic and infrastructure failures. To improve, the U.S. must invest in updating key infrastructure, address labor issues, and better coordinate with allies. A senior coordinator should be appointed to lead a long-term strategy, integrating technology, innovation, and partnerships to strengthen the U.S. logistics base.

Weapons May 30, 2017

The Future of the Weapons Industry: 2018 and Beyond

The United States (US) Weapons Industry remains robust, with sufficient support from the private sector to underpin current U.S. National Security missions. Although we continue in an era of constrained budgets, demand for weapons will not diminish. The industrial base (private and public sectors) is able to balance maintaining basic infrastructure, providing direct support to ongoing conflicts, and developing competitive strategies to ensure the United States' technical and deployable primacy in the world. The competing demands amongst the Executive Branch, the Legislative Branch, and armed services add extra tension to budget constraints. Substantial efforts by both Congress and the defense establishment to reduce waste associated with defense acquisition do not focus enough on ensuring the health of the defense weapons industrial base. The USG should conduct an assessment on current Research, Development, Test and Evaluation (RDT&E) funding, focus strategies to improve collaboration between defense and industry laboratories, continue revisions of export controls and regulations to support greater opportunities to increase competition, and ensure improvement of the acquisition processes. Without a comprehensive assessment and focused improvement efforts, the United States' Defense Industrial Base can expect diminution of its capacity, innovation, and technological advantage to resource National Security missions.

Weapons (Formerly Munitions) May 31, 2024

Hypersonic and Directed Energy Weapons: Emerging Capabilities Necessary for Competition and Containment

Current global conflicts underscore significant shifts in modern warfare, particularly the rising costs of defending against small, affordable systems and the strategic advantage of undetected, on-demand strikes. In response, the U.S. is investing heavily in hypersonic and directed energy weapons. However, despite years of testing and billions of dollars spent, these technologies have yet to be deployed at scale. The Department of Defense (DoD) needs a cohesive strategy to effectively advance these initiatives, as current requirements are unclear, and development efforts have led to stalled progress. Additionally, the lack of collaboration with allies has resulted in underutilized resources and capabilities. To expedite the development and deployment of credible hypersonic and directed energy weapons, the DoD must establish centralized authorities and prioritize partnerships. These weapons are critical to maintaining U.S. technological superiority, especially as peer adversaries like China and Russia have developed similar capabilities. Emerging technologies, such as hypersonic and directed energy systems, are reshaping warfare, as demonstrated in the Ukraine and Israel conflicts, where low-cost drones overwhelm expensive kinetic interceptors. To enhance national and global security, particularly in Europe and the Indo-Pacific, the U.S. must strengthen its deterrence strategies and leverage these advanced technologies. While these weapons offer strategic advantages, critics question their cost-effectiveness, feasibility, and overall utility, making the need for efficient and rapid development even more pressing.

Weapons: May 30, 2023

The Need for Speed: The Case for Continued Development of Hypersonic and Directed Energy Weapons

As the People’s Republic of China (PRC), and to a lesser extent Russia, rapidly develop and field hypersonic and directed energy weapons, the United States (US) faces a strategic military capabilities gap. The PRC’s arsenal of hypersonic weapons extends its anti-access area denial capabilities throughout the South China Sea, increasing the required standoff distances for US military forces to operate in a conflict safely. To prevent the PRC from reshaping the liberal world order, the US should continue to develop offensive and defensive hypersonic and directed energy weapons to complement its current arsenal while addressing defense industrial base issues, including infrastructure, supply chain, and human capital, and fostering cooperation with allies and partners.